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Can DC win online?
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Posted 7:09 pm in Categories: Poker |
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It's the question that men have been asking almost as long as they've been asking whether there is a God (ironically, the two questions may be related). But seriously, I am very curious if I could work up the focus to win online. Hypothetical formula: I deposit $250 on Stars and play only two things--25NL full-ring, and the $3 rebuy. I will never play more than two tables at a time.
Here's where it gets interesting: I am considering cross-booking my action with one or more people to help motivate myself. That means, if you take my action, if I go broke, I will pay you some % of my losses. But if I win a certain amount, you have to pay me some % of my winnings. And as a caveat, here is some side action: if you catch me playing anything other than the stipulated games on Stars, I pay you a penalty. I am not 100% certain if I am going to do this, but I am curious if anyone is interested.
I will probably try and develop some kind of regimen if I go through with this, with or without outside incentive. I am a naturally competitive person, but very prone to emotional swings, as anyone who reads my blog knows. I do not want to admit that there is something I can't be successful at with hard work, and I'm really determined that I might be able to pull something like this off without the use of performance-enhancing software.
Anyway, I also played some $1/$3 live NL last night and won a small amount in a couple hours. Small impact financially, but very good psychologically. Couple fun hands:
1. I get dealt  in 3rd position. UTG limps, I raise to $13, one caller in the CO, and UTG calls. Flop comes   . UTG checks, I bet $27. The CO calls, and UTG folds. Slightly disconcerting flop, but I do have top set and I won't be overly worried unless a 4th diamond comes. Turn is the . Yuck. I check. The CO pauses, and bets $30. His bet and his demeanor didn't seem very strong to me, but even the beats me. Still, there is a lot of money in there, and I have decent odds to draw to 10 outs for the boat, plus really good implied odds if he does have a decent flush and is trying to set me up. River is the , no help to me. I check, probably intending to check fold, as a block bet won't work here. My opponent thinks for a few moments, then chickens out and checks behind. I say, "no diamond," and he says "me neither." My set holds up. My suspicion is he read me for something like the and didn't think I would fold, so he couldn't fire the second bullet. His turn bet was probably just a poorly orchestrated bluff that didn't take pot size into consideration (although it might have worked if I instead had AK with no diamond).
2. I have  UTG and decide to limp. Now, I hate playing hands OOP and have cut almost all hands out of my EP repertoire except for hands that rarely make draws (AK and pairs, mostly, as I really hate AQ, AJ, and KQ). Still, the table was pretty passive, and there are pretty good implied odds if I hit something with this hand, as it can make some pretty strong pair/draw combos. Two more limpers to the button, who makes it $16 total. The SB calls, and BB folds. It's back on me. There is $41 in the pot, and $13 for me to call. I don't like my hand much, but that's over 2.5-to-1, plus I might induce action behind me with little chance of a reraise, and my stack is decent enough to get some fold equity if I flop a big draw (pretty much I just don't want to flop one pair on a bad board). I decide to call, but the limpers behind me fold. However, the flop is decent for me,   . OK, fine, it's a little more than decent. The SB now bets out $15, and has about $50 more behind. This wasn't really what I expected, but I have the nuts, and the button has me covered, so I just call, hoping that the button flopped something huge and might raise me here (and might throw in an extra $15 if I just call, even if he doesn't have much). Instead, the button just calls, and we go to the turn, the . The SB bets $15 again, not really what I wanted. If I just call here, I won't have much of a chance at getting my whole stack in against the button. However, if he has something, he might decide to start building the pot here, and I want to charge him to draw to a tie if he does have AK/AQ/KK/QQ, or a set obviously. I raise it to $40, thinking this might tempt the button. It does not, and he folds, but the SB nicely shoves his chips in, and I still win a decent pot with the nut straight (river was meaningless .
I may head out to the casino tonight for a late night run. Friday nights are notoriously good, especially with some people busting out of bigger games, people in smaller games chasing losses, and random street traffic with a few drinks under their belts.
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April, Adventures, and a 7-Day Ban
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Posted 5:41 pm in Categories: Poker |
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As I alluded to in the thread in General, April wasn't a great month for me, nor for a lot of players if I am reading the general consensus. A combination of bad luck, bad play, and distractions ended my month in the red. As if that weren't bad enough, I blew off $150 online yesterday on pure silliness.
I played the $11 rebuy, and never really got rolling. In the first hour, I lost an 11k pot when my 98 got outdrawn by Q4 after we got all-in on a Q-8-8-6 board. In the second hour, I had a great chance to get rolling when I got in a 4-way all-in pot for 33k! I had KK an d was up against QQ, JJ, and TT! Unfortunately, the board ran A-4-4-T-x and I won only the side pots. I never had more than 20,000 in the tournament. I had my last chance to get up past the 20k barrier when I snap-called with A8s against a push from an ultra loose-aggressive small blind. Of course, the board came K-x-x-K-A and I got crippled. I have to ask, do they always have to get there?
From there, I made some money back playing cash games (bad, bad, bad), playing some $2/$4 O8 and Triple Draw of all games. I made back all my cash, and that should have been fine, but oh no. I got bored, went back later to play some $2/$4 HORSE, and promptly lost a bunch back. Then I lost a little more when my luck in Triple Draw turned bad (wicked swings in that game). With my last $72, I made the worst decision of the night. I sat down at a 100NL HU table. Players who specialize in that game are tremendously aggressive, and I was playing with scared money. Despite this, I trapped the guy several times, and actually ran it up to about $250. I was just about to quit, and then I flopped top two pair on a 7-5-3 board. Of course, the guy rolled a gutter ball on me, I lost a big pot, and I chased my losses. Because the guy never missed a flop after that, I couldn't crawl back, and I eventually went bust.
Disgusted with myself and my Mike Matusow-esque behavior, I issued myself a 7-Day ban from PokerStars. I just really, really cannot focus when I play online. I want so badly to do well in the tournaments and get practice, but it just isn't working. Maybe I'm not serious enough or not wired for it, but I just, for lack of a better term, blow up when the pressure is on. Fortunately, I've managed my money well enough so that this isn't a crippling blow to my BR, but I need to get out of this tailspin and just focus on playing live. I will spare everyone the "quitting Poker" bit, because I'm not quitting. I am determined to avoid my bad habits, or change them around to success. Really, I should just be focusing on playing as much live NL as I can, because that is where my money comes from. I can't be all things in Poker, at least not now, so I should really focus on building some capital if I want to be serious.
There is a lot more to success at Poker than knowing how to play. If it wasn't for tilt, bad habits, and distractions from my real goal, I would probably be doing much better in this game.
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| Tuesday, April 29th, 2008 |
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Setbacks
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Posted 2:51 pm in Categories: Poker |
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Yeah, as usually happens after I write a nice positive blog, there have been some setbacks. I've backslid about $500, so my plans to take shots at bigger games will have to wait. Not really a lot I could do about some of the losses, as there were a few coolers, but there are a few highlights, including one hand I absolutely botched beyond comprehension.
We'll start with that one. OK, this is a somewhat controversial situation. I am sitting directly left of my buddy in a live game. Now, when we play together, we usually just stay out of each other's way. Some people may think it constitutes a sort of implicit collusion not to play all-out against a friend at the table, but stuff happens, and it's just understood that we won't really take shots at each other. Really, since it doesn't affect anyone else at the table (if anything, they benefit from it if they pick up that neither of us will bluff at a hand the other is in), I don't think it's that big a deal. Some people may feel differently, and honestly I would prefer not to do it, but that's just kinda the way things happen when you're playing with someone you know.
Anyway, it gets folded to him in MP and he raises to $11. I look down at two Aces. Now, here is my dilemma. If I raise, the hand ends now, unless someone picks up KK/QQ behind me, and I make pretty much no money (because my friend will not call the reraise, and if he does, he will just want to check it down). However, if I call, I might get a call from some other bad players too, and I can make some money in the hand. Only the BB calls behind me, so we go to the flop three ways, and I have about $300 behind. The flop is   . The BB checks, my friend bets $20, and I again decide to just call, thinking that the BB will either call with a weak hand, but will not call a raise with a hand I beat, and I cannot win any more money from my friend (because he will not call a raise here without a set). But then the BB does something I do not expect: he raises to $120. My friend folds, and I make a terrible decision. Now, the BB is a regular, and normally plays very loose-passive. He will CALL a lot of bets with marginal hands, but he will not be aggressive unless he is pretty sure he has the best hand, which is always better than one pair. In other words, there is no hand he is raising here that I beat, and because he is loose passive, he will not fold any stronger hands either! Despite this fact, I lost my head, shoved in, and he instacalled with Q5. I was unable to catch a second pair or an Ace, and I decimated my stack.
I made two major mistakes. One, I should have just reraised preflop and ended the hand (unless someone has KK or QQ in which case I win a lot anyway). Two, I should have folded to the flop check-raise. By playing it tricky the way I did preflop, I should not have gone broke here, because I was not committed. Lesson learned.
The other day I was in a wild game where one player was constantly straddling for $15-$20 and then reraising his option a lot with ATC (but he will fold a weak hand if he gets caught). I had a stack of about $250, and I made a move I'm somewhat comfortable with. He straddled for $15 when I was on the button. It gets folded to me, and I called $15 with TT. Now, here is my logic. In a similar situation the round earlier, I had raised to $60 with AA and he folded. Here, my plan had two contingencies. One, he checks his option and I get to see a relatively cheap flop with TT, and I will try to win a big pot if I hit a set/overpair and I can play with position. Two, he raises preflop and then I shove over the top with what is highly likely to be the best hand. The BB called, and sure enough, he raised to $45. I then followed through with my plan and shoved in my chips. Surprisingly, the BB called (I was not worried he had me beat), but then the straddler says "are you crazy?" as he snap-ships. The straddler had woken up with AA. Oops. GG stack there.
I am pretty comfortable with my play there, as he would have reraised a ton of hands there, just based on how I'd seen him play all day.
I'm still ahead for the month, so I'll just have to keep working hard and grinding it out. The good news is, though, that I'm into grad school, so I will have something else to occupy my time come September. That will be welcome, because playing low limit Poker day after day can be exhausting after awhile. That's why I've taken a few days off, and might be back at the tables either tomorrow or Thursday.
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Results Improving in Limit Game
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Posted 6:28 pm in Categories: Poker |
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After running for about a month much below what I considered to be "expected" success, my luck has turned around in a big way, and I had two very successful sessions at the end of last week ($200 and $380, respectively, both in under 5 hour sessions). Remarkably, I can't think of a lot of "giant" hands I had. I hit the occasional draw (I don't think I was running much ahead of expected frequency of hitting), my top pair and two pair hands held up a little better than before, and I cut a few items out of my repertoire that I think were costing me money before.
I'm now almost at a point where I can consider quitting my job a good financial decision. From my calculations, I need to make about $19-$20/hour to compensate for the same pay/benefits I was receiving at work, and I'm nearly there (and actually, I don't necessarily need that much as long as I can continue moving up to expect more later, plus my happiness and lack of stress are big extrinsic benefits from a utility perspective). A few more weeks at a normal pace (even running slightly worse than I am now), and I may be ready to move up stakes live, which means getting into the $3/$5 NL and $9/$18 Limit games when I can, which can be slightly more difficult to play reliably than my current games.
I've had a few days off, but tomorrow I'll be hitting the tables again. This week, I may try and make another small deposit online and play a couple tournaments, but I will need to make sure that I set some pretty strict limits on myself and my playing hours. One of these days, I might just make a final table, thus justifying my hours of frustration and venture capitalist attitude.
Basically, life is good. I'm confirmed to start grad school in the Fall, I have enough money to survive for at least eight months, and I'm steadily building a bankroll determined to do it the right way this time. Over my next few blogs, I've been thinking about telling the story of my Gambling/Poker history from beginning to present. I apologize if it puts anyone to sleep, but it might be a good reflection opportunity for me.
Since the beginning of March:
About EVEN in tournaments.
-$200 in online cash games.
+$1860 in live $1/$3 NL
+$689 in live $4/$8 Limit
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| Wednesday, April 16th, 2008 |
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Bags of Hot Wind
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Posted 1:50 am in Categories: Poker |
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Today was one of the more frustrating days of live Poker in my short career. I only lost about $30, after being down about $170, so it wasn't financial ruin (I was up $90 at my highest point, but I was really unlucky today).
I was playing $4/$8 kill with some of the most irritating players I've seen in my life. One is an Asian guy in his 30's or 40's who is loud, obnoxious, and constantly shooting angles (miscalling his hand intentionally, delaying for a long-ass time in showing, slowrolling, etc). Basically, he's just a bag of hot wind who really doesn't understand Poker etiquette. At one point, he asked for a deck change, which took a good 6 minutes, because the floor people/chip runners at Cache Creek are HORRIBLE. People who slow down the game with their ridiculous antics piss me off to no end. But still, he couldn't hold a candle to this other bag of hot wind at my table. Only with this guy, the hot wind wasn't coming from his mouth. This guy is a big, fat, slovenly, disgusting old man who farted in my goddam direction at least half a dozen times in the span of an hour. And these were nasty, beef jerky-esque farts, and the asshole wasn't even saying "excuse me," even on the audible ones! I don't know who else noticed, but since he was seated right next to me, I was quite aware of his gaseous emissions.
That would have been irritating enough if I hadn't also missed every single straight and flush draw, and had no fewer than four big pairs cracked. All day, I don't think the table ever saw a "blank" on the turn or river. There were some disgustingly sick runner-runner suckouts happening to almost everyone today. With all this bearing on my mind, it's almost a miracle I didn't finish deeper in the hole (but after all, one big pot in the other direction puts me up for the day). Also, I probably didn't handle myself all that well, as I muttered once or twice about the bad beats I received at the hands of these idiots. I mean, hitting a two outter on me is one thing, but for God's sake, all I ask is don't fart on me!
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| | Joined: | 05 Mar 2005 | | Location: | Northern California | | PokerStars Name: | Turn_Prophet |
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