I continue streaming towards the end of my first 20K hands of heads up play and I've certainly had my good moments and my bad. Some days every third pocket pair makes a set and my opponents cannot wait to get top pair no kicker in on the flop. Other days, betting pot and turn with top two pair loses to runner runner straights. Overall I've been learning a good amount about the game, making some decent money and having fun while doing it. I'm running at about 8 PTBB/100, still winning more than the rake which is something like 5 PTBB/100.

Some hand analysis for the day:

Seat 1: TheSalche ($79.30)Seat 2: sixgun38 ($43.70)
sixgun38 posts the small blind of $0.25
TheSalche posts the big blind of $0.50
The button is in seat #2
* HOLE CARDS *
Dealt to TheSalche
sixgun38 raises to $1.50
TheSalche calls $1
* FLOP *
TheSalche checks
sixgun38 bets $3
TheSalche raises to $12
sixgun38 raises to $42.20, and is all in
TheSalche calls $30.20
sixgun38 shows
TheSalche shows
* TURN *
* RIVER *

sixgun38 shows a pair of Nines
TheSalche shows King Jack high
sixgun38 wins the pot ($86.90) with a pair of Nines

This match was pretty aggressive, villain was pretty meh, and had a tendency to call me down with not much. On the surface this looks like a terrible call, but it may have been closer a "bad" call or could even be a good call depending on what range we assign the villain. A few things to note:

My pot odds are 56.9/30.2 or 1.88:1
Twodimes.net gives the odds here at 70:30 against, or 2.33:1.

However, given the match flow, his more likely hand is a pair of tens or 9s that doesn't block one of our pair cards, which gives us 61.5:38.5 or 1.60:1. His range also includes flush draws, in which case we are flipping with non ace high draws, but 78:22 against the ace high ones. Obviously his range may include some monsters, but I'm not crediting those as much because people slowplay in bad spots in heads up.

Looking back on it after some analysis this might not have been the best call I've ever made, but I have certainly made worse. The point here is to illustrate that I'm not in as bad shape as it appears and that one concept that is important in heads up is fold equity. If you can get an opponent to fold anything above 15% when you have an OESD or a flush draw + an over, you are making a +EV play to shove.

Neat PT stats ...
- Best three hands are QQ, JJ and AA with an average win% of 91 and each have netted me over $500
- Worst three hands are KJo, 86o and KQo