3bet pre: perfect flop, danger river

[ErinJeff]

Villain in this hand is running 86/11/0.6 over 50ish. He is aggro pf and passive postf, generally. We had an earlier hand where he reraised me allin on a st8 draw and hit on the river when I held 2pair. Question here is can I still bet this river? It's not that hard to put this donkey on a hand that he 3bets pre and contains a J (JTs,QJ, KJ, AJ, JJ). Not sure what to do, as the stack sizes indicate that any river bet commits me if he pushes.

PokerStars Game #21459578228: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50) - 2008/10/24 15:39:22 ET
Table 'Skuld III' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 2: Bluffy4Buffy ($50 in chips)
Seat 3: br00dj3b@l ($53.70 in chips)
Seat 4: NiteProwler ($41.05 in chips)
Seat 5: Limex ($64.15 in chips)
Seat 6: ErinJeff ($53.30 in chips)
Seat 7: Greg15001 ($50 in chips)
Seat 8: fitfreak25 ($71.20 in chips)
Seat 9: madpanther ($30 in chips)
fitfreak25: posts small blind $0.25
madpanther: posts big blind $0.50
yankeedawg: sits out
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ErinJeff [Ts Th]
Bluffy4Buffy: folds
br00dj3b@l: folds
NiteProwler: folds
Limex: raises $1 to $1.50
ErinJeff: calls $1.50
Greg15001: folds
fitfreak25: raises $2.50 to $4
madpanther: folds
Limex: calls $2.50
ErinJeff: calls $2.50
*** FLOP *** [3c 7s Tc]
fitfreak25: bets $4
Limex: folds
ErinJeff: raises $7 to $11
fitfreak25: calls $7
*** TURN *** [3c 7s Tc] [8s]
fitfreak25: checks
ErinJeff: bets $18
fitfreak25: calls $18
*** RIVER *** [3c 7s Tc 8s] [9d]
fitfreak25: checks
ErinJeff: ??

[odlozilik]

I am nitty, I check behind.

[xDiamond_CutteRx]

I'm not that worried about him having a Jack, but I am worried about getting called by much beside that. So a large portion of the time you bet, you're not getting a call, but he is never folding a Jack. Still, if he's so aggro, why wouldn't he bet the river with a Jack?

[ErinJeff]

I'm not that worried about him having a Jack, but I am worried about getting called by much beside that. So a large portion of the time you bet, you're not getting a call, but he is never folding a Jack. Still, if he's so aggro, why wouldn't he bet the river with a Jack?

What else do we need to be worried about? 56 doesn't 3bet pre. QJ is nuts and I'm beaten by any other J combo. I don't see any other hands to be worried about. Am I missing something?

[ErinJeff]

Oops. Disregard my previous DC. I see what you mean, any other hand (besides 1 containing a J) will fold. So do you advocate a bet here?

[supafrey]

seems like he has a nice hand that wants to not bloat the pot.

Yeah with those many draws out there I see you getting called by a lot of bluff catchers. I bet this about 60-70% of the time.

[miaowmiaowchowface]

i would most definitely bet this

[Jernej Zorec]

i'd raise more on flop and shove turn, as played i probably bet against a player like this