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Another QQ conundrum...

Analysis of specific hands and general game theory
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3 posts • Page 1 of 1

Another QQ conundrum...

Postby ErinJeff » Mon Mar 03, 2008 2:47 pm GMT

Villain here is a total psycho. Stats of 83/31/1.25 over 60 hands. He had shown down some total air hands and monsters in the last couple of orbits. After the second donkbet I'm totally lost how to proceed. Call reasonable bets to showdown? The turn was probably one of the worst cards in the deck for me in terms of closing draws.

POKERSTARS GAME #15667022304: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.10/$0.25) - 2008/03/01 - 16:59:48 (ET)
Table 'Sulamitis' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: mulligen ($12.20 in chips)
Seat 2: ErinJeff ($25 in chips)
Seat 3: crowsen ($4.50 in chips)
Seat 4: xaucomet ($6.05 in chips)
Seat 5: mathys ($20.25 in chips)
Seat 6: jarvisxyz ($8.60 in chips)
Seat 7: Hitdark ($25 in chips)
Seat 8: 11speedy ($19.25 in chips)
Seat 9: t-mocro ($29.95 in chips)
jarvisxyz: posts small blind $0.10
Hitdark: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ErinJeff [Qc Qd]
11speedy: folds
t-mocro: calls $0.25
mulligen: folds
ErinJeff: raises $1 to $1.25
crowsen: folds
xaucomet: folds
mathys: folds
jarvisxyz: calls $1.15
Hitdark: folds
t-mocro: calls $1
*** FLOP *** [9c 2c Td]
jarvisxyz: checks
t-mocro: bets $1.25
ErinJeff: raises $2.25 to $3.50
jarvisxyz: folds
t-mocro: calls $2.25
*** TURN *** [9c 2c Td] [8c]
t-mocro: bets $1.25
HERO ??
ErinJeff
 
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Location: South Carolina
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Postby Jauron » Mon Mar 03, 2008 3:04 pm GMT

Raise a little more on the flop, you are giving him a decent price to draw and are multi-way still. This is the kind of player who likely will call any bet amount on draws and probably is too sticky with pairs, charge him more to see the turn.

I'd flat call the turn for pot control and your draws, he probably isn't folding to a push here and will never fold 2 pair or better in this spot. I'd expect any club to be good here since he limped in. A Jack probably means we have to call most river bets too. Unimproved on the river I'd call a reasonable size bet since his range is pretty wide.
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Jauron
 
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Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:13 am GMT
Location: Living in your walls
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Postby Felting » Mon Mar 03, 2008 3:17 pm GMT

like juaron said raise a little more on the flop.

We have to call on the turn.

If we are behind, we can catch a J for a str8, any club for a flush, and the two queens may win it for us.(4 outs for the jack, 8 for the flush<don't recount the J:club:> , 2 for the queens = 13 outs.)

river, check/call if we don't improve or hit a queen. Reraise if we hit the str8 or flush.
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