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Big Mtt Decision....

Analysis of specific hands and general game theory
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20 posts • Page 2 of 2 • 1, 2

Postby Ensano » Sat Sep 13, 2008 2:07 am GMT

pot at 7875... 7875*.24363 = 1919

you had to call 2375 to win 1919....

-EV...


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

2,709 games 0.005 secs 541,800 games/sec

Board: As 8s Td
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 24.363% 24.36% 00.00% 660 0.00 { KsTs }
Hand 1: 58.693% 58.69% 00.00% 1590 0.00 { AA }
Hand 2: 16.944% 16.94% 00.00% 459 0.00 { QsJs }
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Postby Loonbat » Mon Sep 15, 2008 5:37 pm GMT

Ensano wrote:pot at 7875... 7875*.24363 = 1919

you had to call 2375 to win 1919....

-EV...


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

2,709 games 0.005 secs 541,800 games/sec

Board: As 8s Td
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 24.363% 24.36% 00.00% 660 0.00 { KsTs }
Hand 1: 58.693% 58.69% 00.00% 1590 0.00 { AA }
Hand 2: 16.944% 16.94% 00.00% 459 0.00 { QsJs }


Poor reasoning using results-oriented thinking (ie specifically putting in their hands instead of a range).
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Postby Garoen » Mon Sep 15, 2008 11:38 pm GMT

he was talking about the call

its -ev
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Postby suitedaces84 » Wed Sep 17, 2008 5:18 pm GMT

MrDarling wrote:I actually disagree with everyone here and say I think we should find a fold here. Early on the chips we win don't worth nearly as much as the one we lose.
Double up (or even triple up) wont really effect our end results that much, but busting will.

If the structure is real bad or opponents are real tough we might consider taking what ever small edge we have, but I doubt this is the case here.

When you are a long way from the money an MTT plays like a cash game. cEV ~ EV.
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Postby miaowmiaowchowface » Wed Sep 17, 2008 10:17 pm GMT

Ensano wrote:pot at 7875... 7875*.24363 = 1919

you had to call 2375 to win 1919....

-EV...


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

2,709 games 0.005 secs 541,800 games/sec

Board: As 8s Td
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 24.363% 24.36% 00.00% 660 0.00 { KsTs }
Hand 1: 58.693% 58.69% 00.00% 1590 0.00 { AA }
Hand 2: 16.944% 16.94% 00.00% 459 0.00 { QsJs }


so even when ur opponents had the worst 4 cards in the deck ur still 25%. That sounds pretttttty good to me
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