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Sean_in_NJ
 
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A Setback

Permanent Linkby Sean_in_NJ on Tue Jan 09, 2007 1:32 am GMT

On the advice of a forum member, I sought out the .01/.02 NL tables on Stars. Worst decision I could've made. After 55 hands, I was down $0.38, and it's painfully clear that I'm strictly a limit player and need to stick to that plan.

On to better news, I decided to download a trial version of PokerOffice to track my progress. At first, I was little dismayed that the trial version only allows you to import 300 hands before buying a license; but I figure 300 is probably a big enough sample size to get a real good indication of my play, so I'll just stick with that.

My first analysis shows a winrate of 2.68bb/100, which seemed a little low to me. To get a clearer picture, I filtered my results to only include the hands where I won money, and my winrate jumped to a much more respectable 256.51bb/100. It's probably not sustainable at that level, but if I can maintain something more manageable, like 100bb/100, then I feel good about my chances of making my goal.

I'm making a schedule given my projected earn rate and the amount of time I expect to play over the coming days, which I hope will act as my roadmap through the 100 Acre Wood of microlimit poker.

Bankroll: $1.13
$$$ to Go: $4.87

Gaming corrupts our disposition and teaches us a habit of hostility against all mankind.

-- Thomas Jefferson

UrAteUp wrote:The EV to call this is right at +1 if memory serves me correctly but I am too lazy to do the math.
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RE:A Setback

Permanent Linkby exit music on Tue Jan 09, 2007 5:12 am GMT

300 hands is not even close to enough hands to get a good feel of your play. A couple thousand is normally where you can start to think about getting an accurate read of how you are doing.



A good winrate for limit poker is between 1-2PTBB/100 over a long period of time. If its any higher than that, consider yourself blessed and wait for your hot-streak to end.



Good luck with your quest man, but be aware that there is a high percentage that you will go on a slight downswing and go busto b/c of the fact that you don't have a bankroll big enough to play any limit. Although it would also be easy to reach your goal if you catch a small rush of cards.



Either way goodluck!
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