CHAMPIONSHIP! Fantasy Football final table... chop?

[General Sal]

So, once again, I have made the Championship game of my fantasy football contest with a bunch of co-workers. I'm really happy this year again, as I busted out my personal nemesis...a real bitch of a punter. Either way, here's the deal... first place: $300. Second place $125. Buy-in: $50. So, based on y'alls practical knowledge of # +EV and intuitive odds... would you chop in my position or play out this heads up contest? If chop, how much do I offer and what's the "breaking point/no chop point?"

Here's our matchup....

my team......................his team

QB Tony Romo @ Carolina......Tom Brady @ Mia
WR Terrell Owens @ Car.......Greg Jennings @ Chi
WR Brandon Marshall @ SD.....Larry Fitzgerald @ Atl
RB Earnest Graham @ SF.......Lendale White @ NYJ
RB Adrian Peterson @ Was.....Fred Taylor @ Oak
TE Jason Witten @ Car........Antonio Gates @ Den
K Mason Crosby @ Chi........S. Gostkowski @ Mia
D Indianapolis @ Hou........New England @ Mia

Bonus: I also have Deion Branch as a wide receiver and the Jaguars D (vs. Oak.)...

[Felix]

$212.50 would be a fair chop, if you were to win your contest, you'd only make $77.50 more, but if you lose, you drop $87.50.

If you believe both your teams to be evenly matched, take the chop. If not, either play the game/negotiate a deal slightly more in your favor.

[Dave B]

Play it out, I like your chances.

[trs912]

Tough call. Looks like you've got a lot of eggs in that Dallas basket. A bad game from Romo and you are screwed. I'd offer a 50/50 split. If he doesn't like it, GO COWBOYS!

p.s. I'm in the championship in my league too. But, I've got Brady AND Peterson. Bwahahahaha!

[Sean_in_NJ]

Play it out, I like your chances.

+1

GAMBOOOL

[Muck]

my team

QB Tony Romo @ Carolina
WR Terrell Owens @ Car
WR Brandon Marshall @ SD
RB Earnest Graham @ SF
RB Adrian Peterson @ Was
TE Jason Witten @ Car
K Mason Crosby @ Chi
D Indianapolis @ Hou

Fold preflop

[Sean_in_NJ]

Fold preflop

nh
wp
gg

[UrAteUp]

Play it out Sal. No guts no glory...just like on the field.

[Muck]

Fold preflop

nh
wp
gg

A friend of mine send out an e-mail to our mates distribution list saying that Duke Nuke ‘em Forever looks like it might be released soon.

This spurred a joke about slash dot losing one of their oldest and dearest running gags.

Which made me think. Apart from [i]â€

[supafrey]

our group is neither active nor clever enough to come up with that much. we each have our easily identifiable quirks eg:

Mystery poster 1 boob joke awkward reference to beerwench's rack lolol

We need someone to get brilliant at mspaints and be "that" guy.

[MJJ]

So, once again, I have made the Championship game of my fantasy football contest with a bunch of co-workers. I'm really happy this year again, as I busted out my personal nemesis...a real bitch of a punter. Either way, here's the deal... first place: $300. Second place $125. Buy-in: $50. So, based on y'alls practical knowledge of # +EV and intuitive odds... would you chop in my position or play out this heads up contest? If chop, how much do I offer and what's the "breaking point/no chop point?"

Here's our matchup....

my team......................his team

QB Tony Romo @ Carolina......Tom Brady @ Mia
WR Terrell Owens @ Car.......Greg Jennings @ Chi
WR Brandon Marshall @ SD.....Larry Fitzgerald @ Atl
RB Earnest Graham @ SF.......Lendale White @ NYJ
RB Adrian Peterson @ Was.....Fred Taylor @ Oak
TE Jason Witten @ Car........Antonio Gates @ Den
K Mason Crosby @ Chi........S. Gostkowski @ Mia
D Indianapolis @ Hou........New England @ Mia

Bonus: I also have Deion Branch as a wide receiver and the Jaguars D (vs. Oak.)...

Romo sprained his thumb last week and is only 'lobbing passes' thru Weds practice this week. If he is limited, you lose 2 of your top 3 in him and TO. On top of that, AP hasn't been great the last 2 games (78 yards Mon night wasn't good, the 2 TD's saved the day for him) so you have questions for all 3 of your 'studs'
I take the split w/ your team.

[UrAteUp]

beerwench's rack

Times like these we need a Homer Simpson emot.

[General Sal]

I've decided to not go for the chop, and compete. I'm really excited here... haven't really focused on poker at all for the last few days. Lately, I have been just scouring information on the games most likely to affect me... notably the New England/Miami game. I pray for cold, rainy wet weather in Foxboro. I think it'll give me a good shot to win this thing.

Also, I'd been watching Tony Romo's thumb issues.. and they seem to be cleared up now. And, I was following some of the Terrell Owens comments, but it seemed to me that they were all tongue-in-cheek... so probably not that much of a distraction.

[exit music]

our group is neither active nor clever enough to come up with that much. we each have our easily identifiable quirks eg:

Mystery poster 1 :lol: :lol: :lol: boob joke :twisted: :twisted: :lol: awkward reference to beerwench's rack :P :P :lol: :o lolol

We need someone to get brilliant at mspaints and be "that" guy.

[UrAteUp]

lol...not bad rookie.