[19:33] <@gumbie> best fold in history

[Ensano]

http://www.pokerhand.org/?3099675

[19:33] <@gumbie> http://www.pokerhand.org/?3099675
[19:33] <@gumbie> best fold in history
[20:11] <@Pav> wait isn't the math there.. like.. equal?
[20:11] <@Pav> you realize he could just be lying?
[20:25] <@gumbie> I don't think he was
[20:25] <@gumbie> he pasted hh in chat
[20:25] <@gumbie> and then he put a screenie in facebook
[20:26] <@gumbie> but I cant see there
[20:26] <@gumbie> some guy at the table tried to get him to post it at 2+2
[20:27] <@gumbie> if I shpow AA face up it's a fold just
[20:27] <@gumbie> I think
[20:28] * @Muten (~ouais@29.21-65-87.adsl-dyn.isp.belgacom.be) Quit (Quit)
[20:39] <@Pav> just barely
[20:39] <@Pav> so he literally has to be 100% sure you have aa
[20:39] <@Pav> meaning you're a nit
[20:42] <@gumbie> nah
[20:42] <@gumbie> if I have kk aa or aks it's still a fold apparently
[20:43] <@gumbie> the fact there was 470 effective stack makes a big difference
[20:44] <@gumbie> he 4 bet was pretty ridiculous
[20:44] <@gumbie> lol

[Ensano]

by time Gumbo pushes the pot is 667.30 and it's 267.3 for villian to call... basically 2.5:1 pot odds preflop...

so basically all villian needs is 28.57% equity...

situation A).. heros 4bet range is KK+, AK

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

154,107,360 games 0.005 secs 30,821,472,000 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.293% 43.79% 03.51% 67479612 5402286.00 { KK }
Hand 1: 52.707% 49.20% 03.51% 75823176 5402286.00 { KK+, AKs, AKo }




situation B).. heros range is KK or AA only

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

71,916,768 games 0.005 secs 14,383,353,600 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 22.618% 15.59% 07.03% 11209632 5056266.00 { KK }
Hand 1: 77.382% 70.35% 07.03% 50594604 5056266.00 { KK+ }


so basically worst case it's situation B... all villian needs here is a 6% chance he's wrong...

not to mention he's already got 42.8% of his stack in already...

[miaowmiaowchowface]

He'd have to see you as a MASSIVE nit lol it's such a bad fold

[Ensano]

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

61,642,944 games 0.005 secs 12,328,588,800 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 18.054% 17.82% 00.23% 10986372 142614.00 { KK }
Hand 1: 81.946% 81.71% 00.23% 50371344 142614.00 { AA }


so even if hero IS a complete nit and you're 90% sure he has AA... you only have to be wrong 10% of the time to make calling +EV