How Probable Is This?

[wEbMaStEr]

I swear to god this actully happened last night in a $30 UB tourney I think we were at level 3.

I'm In 4th position I flat call with QQ, MP raises, LP calls, sb Raises to about half my stack, without even factoring in M & LP i decide that this is the time to move all in on the sb and isolate him and hope my QQ holds up.

MP calls, LP calls, sb calls

I show my QQ Mp shows AK, LP shows KK sb shows AA

My QQ are the lowest 2 cards of 4 hands preflop

No-one improves and the AA holds up

[JohnnyCache]

Well, your QQ WAS most likely to improve...it's rigged

[Muck]

Nice premium hands.

Although you probably had okay odds of improving compared to theirs when you consider they’ve kind of taken each others outs.

1 Ace left to reinforce AA’s lead.
1 King left to give KK the lead.
And AK needs QJT (A bad situation when you have AK pre-flop and don’t want to see pair ).

If you took the suits into account things would probably get more complex though.

EDIT:
Which is exactly what JohnnyCache said :D

[wEbMaStEr]

Well, your QQ WAS most likely to improve...it's rigged

I think the fact that AA held up under those circumstances just goes to prove it's rigged!!!

[Soup_dog]

I had almost the exact seem thing happen to me at Party Poker and it crippled my bankroll. I was on the button with QQ. The BB had KK. The SB had AA. A king came on the turn and he won the whole pot. I was MORE than a little upset.

[Cyberhwk]

Similer thing happened to a a coworker of mine when he was playing 3/6. He's on the button with AA, rags come and betting is capped in every single betting round before he even gets action.

AA holds up and he wins the pot without having put a single raise in.

[gol4pro]

Probabilty that on any given hand 1 person will be dealt AA, 1 KK, 1 QQ, 1 AK at a 10 person table.

10c4-- 10 total people, 4 need the cards

10c4(4c2)(4c2)(4c2)(2c1*2c1)/52c20 = 4.268 x10^-10

[Always_Bored]

I had almost the exact seem thing happen to me at Party Poker and it crippled my bankroll.

You seem to be playing tables that are to high limit for your bankroll if one bad hand can cripple your bankroll.

[wEbMaStEr]

Probabilty that on any given hand 1 person will be dealt AA, 1 KK, 1 QQ, 1 AK at a 10 person table.

10c4-- 10 total people, 4 need the cards

10c4(4c2)(4c2)(4c2)(2c1*2c1)/52c20 = 4.268 x10^-10

And in English?

[Always_Bored]

Probabilty that on any given hand 1 person will be dealt AA, 1 KK, 1 QQ, 1 AK at a 10 person table.

10c4-- 10 total people, 4 need the cards

10c4(4c2)(4c2)(4c2)(2c1*2c1)/52c20 = 4.268 x10^-10

And in English?

10c4(4c2)(4c2)(4c2)(2c1*2c1)/52c20 = 4.268 x10^-10 = not very likely