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nl $100 hand

Analysis of specific hands and general game theory
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3 posts • Page 1 of 1

nl $100 hand

Postby Ciso_B » Fri Aug 01, 2008 12:33 am GMT

Villain seems like a solid player, willing to release a hand if enough pressure is put on him, like to keep the lead in a hand if opponent shows weakness/played it passively.

I have played pretty agressive, not shown down a bluff and not been that distinguishable from other players at the table.

PokerStars Game #19263501593: Hold'em No Limit ($0.50/$1.00) - 2008/08/01 - 00:23:46 (ET)
Table 'Venetia' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: umpa21 ($98.50 in chips)
Seat 2: Neab ($98.50 in chips)
Seat 4: RiverRock55 ($141.85 in chips)
Seat 5: AGGIE ($100 in chips)
Seat 6: sammyace101 ($118.20 in chips)
umpa21: posts small blind $0.50
Neab: posts big blind $1
ianonabeach: sits out
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Neab [xd xs]
RiverRock55: folds
AGGIE: folds
sammyace101: folds
umpa21: raises $2 to $3
Neab: calls $2
*** FLOP *** [Qc 6d 8c]
umpa21: bets $5
Neab: calls $5
*** TURN *** [Qc 6d 8c] [5h]
umpa21: bets $12
Neab: raises $18 to $30
umpa21: calls $18
*** RIVER *** [Qc 6d 8c 5h] [4s]
umpa21: checks
Neab: bets $40
umpa21: folds




Should I bet more for value ? Or less? Doe's it make a difference if im bluffing or not. I think I had $60 at the river he had similar.
I felt like he was just attacking from the sb, so I decided to play. I won't show my hand till I got a few responses as to whether my line fits a strong/weak or mediocre hand value.And the kind of hand umpa21 is likely to have etc.
Also, comment on why maybe he called turn reraise and folded river etc. Shoot!!!!!!!!!!
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Postby xDiamond_CutteRx » Fri Aug 01, 2008 12:49 am GMT

So, you have $60 left on the river, and now there is roughly $76 in the pot. A shove offers him better than 2:1, so he should probably call with most reasonable hands he would call the raise with on the turn (because you put him to a commitment decision). $40 bet offers him about 3:1, but I don't know that he'll look you up all that more often because of the board texture.

If this instance, his range for calling $40 is probably about the same as his range for calling $60, since any 7 makes a straight, and he isn't calling or rebluffing you with missed clubs pretty much ever, given that you're not folding any non-bluff hand for $20 more.

If you're value betting, I'd say just go ahead and bet the $60, because I strongly suspect on this board that if he'll look you up getting 3:1, he'll look you up getting 2:1, since he either has a strong hand, is trying to bluff-catch, or he missed totally.

If you're bluffing, by the same principle, it seems that $40 is preferable for $60, because at least you save $20 when you get caught.

Really though, the 4 on the river shouldn't scare villain unless you happened to be semi-bluffing a 7--your turn raise says you had it already. Villain's actions seem to suggest a missed club draw. His range for calling is tricky... he's definitely calling with a 7, almost certainly making a crying call with a set, and potentially folding the rest.

Why not raise more on the turn btw? Unless you think he's totally drawing dead, you're not pricing him out of anything, and that leaves a lot if you want to get your stack in on the river.
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Postby miaowmiaowchowface » Fri Aug 01, 2008 1:46 am GMT

if u have a set or AA-KK, even AQ,
you should shove the river everytime, riaising more on the turn will make this look friendlier. either way, shove the river regardless of a bluff or vbet, I don't think the 20$ will change a competent players decision that much.

He's prolly looking you up here with AQ+, but I think he'd shove turn with AQ so this looks a lot like a draw of sorts, bet 5$ to induce ;)
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