Odds of winning with particular hand vs. # of hands dealt
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Odds of winning with particular hand vs. # of hands dealt
There might be an obvious answer to this question, but if there is I haven't found it.
What I want to know is this; Is there a chart, table, or simple formula that you can use to calculate your odds of winning with a particular hand, versus the number of hands dealt.
Let me see if I can make myself a little bit clearer here. If I am sitting at a full table of 9 or 10 other players and I draw a pair of 10's, I'm going to be very cautious about how much money I throw at this pair, because with 8 or 9 other hands out there, it would be highly probably that someone else at the table has a better hand. By the same token, if I am sitting at a table and it is down to 2 or 3 players and I have this same pair of 10's, I would be much more likely to throw alot more money at it because my chances of winning with the pair of 10's is much greater.
I am envisioning a chart which would run from a very low high card, essentially trash which would give a very low probablility of winning at a table of 10 hands, up through a Royal Flush with a 100% chance of winning or tying regardless of the number of hands dealt.
If anyone would like any clarification on my question feel free to ask, and if anyone knows where I can find such a chart or table please let me know.
thanks
Dan
What I want to know is this; Is there a chart, table, or simple formula that you can use to calculate your odds of winning with a particular hand, versus the number of hands dealt.
Let me see if I can make myself a little bit clearer here. If I am sitting at a full table of 9 or 10 other players and I draw a pair of 10's, I'm going to be very cautious about how much money I throw at this pair, because with 8 or 9 other hands out there, it would be highly probably that someone else at the table has a better hand. By the same token, if I am sitting at a table and it is down to 2 or 3 players and I have this same pair of 10's, I would be much more likely to throw alot more money at it because my chances of winning with the pair of 10's is much greater.
I am envisioning a chart which would run from a very low high card, essentially trash which would give a very low probablility of winning at a table of 10 hands, up through a Royal Flush with a 100% chance of winning or tying regardless of the number of hands dealt.
If anyone would like any clarification on my question feel free to ask, and if anyone knows where I can find such a chart or table please let me know.
thanks
Dan
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dlakey - Posts: 8
- Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 3:17 am GMT
I am wondering if my questions is not clear, or am I not getting any responses because there is no such thing.
Essentially I am wanting to know what the probabilities of any particular poker hand winning at any particular time, and how those probablilities relate to how many hands are dealt.
Dan
Essentially I am wanting to know what the probabilities of any particular poker hand winning at any particular time, and how those probablilities relate to how many hands are dealt.
Dan
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dlakey - Posts: 8
- Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 3:17 am GMT
I've seen this kind of thing in books, don't know where to get it online. Really I think the "answer" to your question would be more a statistical treatise on poker than a handy chart somewhere. "Winner's Guide to Texas Hold'em" by Ken Warren has a better odds section than most, lots of charts of this nature.
I think you're looking at this from a bad angle though. So looking at one of these charts, I see that TT is 60% to win with 3 players. Great... but the flop comes As Ks Js and you have no spades. Whoops, there goes your 60% and you better not be in there swinging thinking you're still a big favorite. For hand selection and preflop play you might want to Google "Sklansky groups". Postflop I'll go out on a limb and say that a raw statistical figure on how often a given hand should win against X opponents is completely useless in any specific hand.
I think you're looking at this from a bad angle though. So looking at one of these charts, I see that TT is 60% to win with 3 players. Great... but the flop comes As Ks Js and you have no spades. Whoops, there goes your 60% and you better not be in there swinging thinking you're still a big favorite. For hand selection and preflop play you might want to Google "Sklansky groups". Postflop I'll go out on a limb and say that a raw statistical figure on how often a given hand should win against X opponents is completely useless in any specific hand.
- Iron Butt
- Posts: 573
- Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:59 pm GMT
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