Online Poker Mathematics
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Online Poker Mathematics
I have spent some time creating a system that utilizes mathematics in online poker. There are many variables that can be taken into account using Poker Tracker 3 and Poker Ace HUD which i will attempt to explain.
The real Power comes from being able to instantly download 600,000 hands from websites like HandHQ for only a few dollars and then store them into a database software such as Poker Tracker 3.
Statistics:
Blinds : $1 - $2
Players: 7 – 10
Software:
• Poker Tracker 3 Database Tracking
• Poker Heads Up Display (HUD)
• HandHQ – 600,000 Hands @ $1/$2 BB
Hands /hour: 50-60
AVG Pot: $40-50
2,000 Hands = 5 Hours/day * 7 days/week = $450 - $650
Hourly Rate: $12.85 - $18.50
Algorithm
1) Locate Tables: If (Table VP$IP > 25) Table = Loose
2) Search ALL tables for Weak Players (Fish) using Poker Tracker 3.
• Play tight in loose games and play in loose games only. If all the tables are tight, run.
3) Pick Table with Loose Action and Weak Players.
4) Select a position at the table
• Watch for the tightest player at the table.
• Pick a spot to that players left.
3) Find best times of day where with the most weak players. (Research)
4) Sit at table & Calculate All player statistics (CONSTANTLY) and percentages using software (HUD).
• VP$IP – Voluntary put money in pot
• AF – Aggression Factor
• PFR – Pre-Flop Raise
• WSD% - Went to Showdown%
• WS – Won at Showdown%
6) Play 60 min. then break 5 min.
With this system if you treat online poker as a job you will be well on your way to becoming a Professional Player.
The real Power comes from being able to instantly download 600,000 hands from websites like HandHQ for only a few dollars and then store them into a database software such as Poker Tracker 3.
Statistics:
Blinds : $1 - $2
Players: 7 – 10
Software:
• Poker Tracker 3 Database Tracking
• Poker Heads Up Display (HUD)
• HandHQ – 600,000 Hands @ $1/$2 BB
Hands /hour: 50-60
AVG Pot: $40-50
2,000 Hands = 5 Hours/day * 7 days/week = $450 - $650
Hourly Rate: $12.85 - $18.50
Algorithm
1) Locate Tables: If (Table VP$IP > 25) Table = Loose
2) Search ALL tables for Weak Players (Fish) using Poker Tracker 3.
• Play tight in loose games and play in loose games only. If all the tables are tight, run.
3) Pick Table with Loose Action and Weak Players.
4) Select a position at the table
• Watch for the tightest player at the table.
• Pick a spot to that players left.
3) Find best times of day where with the most weak players. (Research)
4) Sit at table & Calculate All player statistics (CONSTANTLY) and percentages using software (HUD).
• VP$IP – Voluntary put money in pot
• AF – Aggression Factor
• PFR – Pre-Flop Raise
• WSD% - Went to Showdown%
• WS – Won at Showdown%
6) Play 60 min. then break 5 min.
With this system if you treat online poker as a job you will be well on your way to becoming a Professional Player.
- strzyze7
- Posts: 1
- Joined: Mon Nov 24, 2008 7:17 am GMT
- Location: Virginia
Re: Online Poker Mathematics
I've got to admit, I don't fully understand what you are talking about. I lost interest after this bit
Somehow this produces
I understand playing 35 hours a week equates to around 2,000 hands. I'm unsure how you manage to earn $450-$650?
(I always thought the rule was 1 big blind bet per hour)
strzyze7 wrote:Blinds : $1 - $2
Hands /hour: 50-60
AVG Pot: $40-50
Somehow this produces
strzyze7 wrote:AVG Pot: $40-50
I understand playing 35 hours a week equates to around 2,000 hands. I'm unsure how you manage to earn $450-$650?
(I always thought the rule was 1 big blind bet per hour)
-

jimmer - Moderator
- Posts: 1356
- Joined: Sat Dec 10, 2005 4:23 pm GMT
Re: Online Poker Mathematics
Doesn't anyone else spam sensors pick up some weirdness?
I have no idea how you got from the above stats to the expected win rate. Since how win rate per hand is not determined.
1 big bet per hour is the expected win rate in limit games. You really think grinding will be profitable if all I can expect to win is one big bet per hour? I mean even if I play 4 tables of $400NL ($2/$4) all I can expect to win is $32/hour?
NL win rate is most often calculated by big bets/100 hands.
I have no idea how you got from the above stats to the expected win rate. Since how win rate per hand is not determined.
jimmer wrote:
(I always thought the rule was 1 big blind bet per hour)
1 big bet per hour is the expected win rate in limit games. You really think grinding will be profitable if all I can expect to win is one big bet per hour? I mean even if I play 4 tables of $400NL ($2/$4) all I can expect to win is $32/hour?
NL win rate is most often calculated by big bets/100 hands.
- MrDarling
- Posts: 3886
- Joined: Sun Jun 25, 2006 2:24 am GMT
- Location: Antwerpen
its either 1 big blind, or 1 big bet
and unless u play though limit games (or heavy raked levels)
its a pretty meh winrate , and in nl games, 1bb/100 hands ,altho its wining its not very good imo
and unless u play though limit games (or heavy raked levels)
its a pretty meh winrate , and in nl games, 1bb/100 hands ,altho its wining its not very good imo
- Jernej Zorec
- Posts: 1651
- Joined: Wed Feb 09, 2005 6:19 pm GMT
- Location: Selnica, Slovenia
How is this not a horribly veiled spam post selling HH databases. He named the friggin' website FCS!!
-

Gunslinger - Posts: 818
- Joined: Mon Jan 09, 2006 8:24 pm GMT
- Location: Los Angeles
You know if you break what this guy is saying down to laymans terms...it isn't anything most math based players don't do now.
The one thing I do not see an allowance for is those super aggro players. You mention the rock but what about the ag-tards?
The one thing I do not see an allowance for is those super aggro players. You mention the rock but what about the ag-tards?
-

UrAteUp - Donktastic
- Posts: 4994
- Joined: Fri Jun 17, 2005 12:18 pm GMT
- Location: Missouri
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xDiamond_CutteRx - Moderator
- Posts: 4703
- Joined: Sat Mar 05, 2005 5:26 am GMT
- Location: Northern California
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