This was a true bad beat I took in a LIVE NL tourney...odds?

[ctandc]

I know many will BS..that's fine. I just want to know what the odds were.

$75 entry NL tourney. @ 300 entries. Down to 5 people.

UTG raises 2xBB. Only other caller is a guy who's been REALLY loose pre flop, raising ANY Ace rag and getting nailed because of it. So he calls.

All fold around to me on BB... I just call. ( Can you tell KK has a bad history for me ).

Flop= K K As ( yeah I know...I was biting my lip after this flop )

So I check, UTG checks, other guy ( we'll call him IDIOT for future reference ) goes ALL IN ( about half of my stacks and a little more than half of UTG's stack ).

I call. IDIOT looks kind of shocked.

UTG goes all in...looking like the cat who ate the canary.

So I call....

We flip 'em.

UTQ = AA for A's over K's FH

IDIOT = 2s 5s ???!?!?!!?! ( yeah tell me about even the dealer was laughing )

ME = KK for quad K's


UTG understandably looks pretty dejected.

Turn = 3s

So it creeps into my mind...hell this idiot needs a 4s for a str fl to beat me....I was wondering what the odds of that were...

River = 4s...!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I thought several guys watching were going to cry. Hell...I was in total shock.

So IDIOT wins main pot, and I win the rest because his stack was smaller.

UTG busts out 4th.

I did receive a Bad beat Jackpot of almost $900. I think it was a "pity" bonus.

I believe it really cost me the tourney. As I was close to the big stack in count before that hand.

FYI- IDIOT busted out 3rd when my 66 caught a brother on the flop against his Ace rag.

I went out 2nd when big stack put me all in on my TT raise...he was holding K10s and of course caught a K.

So anyone know the odds of hitting that rnr rnr str fl?

I mean we know the turn was 2/47 right? And the river was 1/46..is this correct or not?


Thanks.

[suitedaces84]

I mean we know the turn was 2/47 right? And the river was 1/46..is this correct or not?

Not quite, you know more than just his cards, so you have to subtract your kings and the other guy's aces from the deck. So it's 2/43 for the turn, and the river is 1/42. Multiply those two fractions and those are the odds that he hits.

[Iron Butt]

Hitting perfect-perfect is about 1,000 to 1 I believe.

[Buddha]

So it's 2/43 for the turn, and the river is 1/42. Multiply those two fractions and those are the odds that he hits.

If my math was right, that is .0011......

[johndsoares]

ouch! bad beat!!!!!! nice $900 though =]

[TheSalche]

Did the $900 cover the difference between 1st and 2nd there?

Gotta say I'm impressed that you came in 2nd after that terrible beat.

I had to re-read that to realize he hit his straight flush cause I was so amazed.

[deadmoney28]

my god man.. i think thats the worst bad beat ive ever heard in my life

[parksah07]

retards are usually rewarded, i was in a NL game today, i had pocket jacks, flop was 10, 8, 3 rainbow, preflop this guy bet $3, i raised to $5, he called, so after the flop i bet $15, he calls, turn is a 5, i go all in, ($16), he calls, shows K Q, river is a king, calls $40+ with NOTHING

[suitedaces84]

retards are usually rewarded

So why do you bother playing good?

[Nut Flush]

Wow, they actually have a bad beat jackpot during a tourney? First time I've heard of that.

[Aves]

Not to get off subject, but I think it's a really terrible move not to reraise preflop. You very likely have the best hand, and the blinds are probably pretty big at this point that the pot size is already pretty good.

[jonesyb]

wow that is a freak hand.

that'll be the poker gods telling ya not to call with KK