Odds

[QuietOne]

Played a hand just a few minutes ago and a few of us were wonering what the odds are of this happening. None of us are any good at figuring odds so please help us.

Heads Up. Flop 7-8-10 rainbow

Player one goes all in with 6-9 for a straight

Player two calls with 8-Q for a pair. (why he called I don't know)

Turn 6
River 9

split pot.

Does anyone know what his odds after the flop of getting a split pot.

Thanks!

[Sean_in_NJ]

1.52%

He had a better chance to win than to chop.

[QuietOne]

Thanks!

[HalfSugar]

A little clarification since Sean could have written anything (and probably did )

On the turn, a 6 or 9 is required but we know two are in play so the odds of that are 6/44. After that comes, we need one of the three 6s or 9s depending on the turn card which leaves 3/43.

6/44 x 3/43 = 0.95%

Sorry Sean, you suck my friend

[QuietOne]

So the odds of that happening are even worse.

Thanks Geno!

[Sean_in_NJ]

52 cards in the deck...not 51. There are seven known, not six.

But, my calculations were wrong anyway. I did 6/45 x 5/44.

0.91%

[HalfSugar]

52 cards in the deck...not 51. There are seven known, not six.

But, my calculations were wrong anyway. I did 6/45 x 5/44.

0.91%

I deducted the burnt card

Also, how can 5 outs on the river be true in this scenario? If you need to hit on the turn AND river, by definition there must be only 3 outs left on the river right?

[Sean_in_NJ]

If you need to hit on the turn AND river, by definition there must be only 3 outs left on the river right?

Yes, that's why I said my calculations were wrong. I was just explaining how I got my incorrect number the first time.

[HalfSugar]

OK, I will stop highlighting your shortcomings as of now. Maybe.

[Sean_in_NJ]

OK, I will stop highlighting your shortcomings as of now. Maybe.

Of all my shortcomings, this is pretty far down on the list.

[QuietOne]

I hope my little pointless question didn't break up a friendship or romance or anything . . .

Thanks to both of you!