drawing 2 pairs after flop?

Pot odds questions, outs calculations, hand probabilities

drawing 2 pairs after flop?

Postby soundmun » Sat Jan 10, 2009 5:55 pm GMT

I wanna see whats the chance of losing when u have AA - flop turn and river?
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Postby jimmer » Sun Jan 11, 2009 7:58 am GMT

Good things come to those who wait!
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Postby Ensano » Sun Jan 11, 2009 11:10 am GMT

i'm pretty sure that if you have AA and the flop comes say QJ2 you get AI against QJ you still have a 25% chance of winning...
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Postby HalfSugar » Sun Jan 11, 2009 3:55 pm GMT

27% per the calc. My brain says it should be 21 or 22%. What's going on?!

You have two aces and three 2s as outs plus either a running paired board or running broadway cards. Surely that's like 20% for the main 5 outs plus 1 or 2% at most for the runners :?
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Postby soundmun » Fri Jan 16, 2009 5:44 am GMT

what i meant was - in general if i have AA what are the chances that oponent has better cards ? flop, turn and river?
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Postby gumbie » Fri Jan 16, 2009 2:58 pm GMT

soundmun wrote:what i meant was - in general if i have AA what are the chances that oponent has better cards ? flop, turn and river?


3.7569328435 TO 1 FLOP

3.172839475 TO 1 TURN

2.587362648276 TO 1 RIVER
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Postby soundmun » Thu Jan 22, 2009 2:10 pm GMT

gumbie wrote:
soundmun wrote:what i meant was - in general if i have AA what are the chances that oponent has better cards ? flop, turn and river?


3.7569328435 TO 1 FLOP

3.172839475 TO 1 TURN

2.587362648276 TO 1 RIVER

so cahnce is in total = 9% he has pairs or better?
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Postby MrDarling » Fri Jan 23, 2009 10:04 am GMT

Gumbie is just F* with you.

There is really no point in this question.
If you go AI pf with AA, you can easily calculate what are the chances you get out drawn vs any hand (and those odds stay the same regardless how the hand play)

However knowing these odds (which you should) should not effect how you play the hand post flop. This is were board reading, hand reading and knowing your opponent comes into play.
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