Vegas hand: AK UTG

[MrDarling]

ok, I'll bite.

First, our equity in the main pot is vs both players :

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

110,734,991,136 games 126.500 secs 875,375,424 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 32.728% 25.91% 06.81% 28695883932 7545012860.00 { AKo }
Hand 1: 26.314% 24.73% 01.59% 27381153720 1757321186.00 { 22+, A2s+, A2o+ }
Hand 2: 40.959% 34.77% 06.19% 38503403736 6852215702.00 { JJ+, AQs+, AQo+ }



Our equity in the side pot is :

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.106% 38.23% 11.88% 306353280 95172708.00 { AKo }
Hand 1: 49.894% 38.02% 11.88% 304659576 95172708.00 { JJ+, AQs+, AQo+ }



So main pot is 45X3+10= 145(we'll give the blinds to the rake)

side pot if baldy as 200 is 310
side pot if baldy as 150 is 210

main pot we win 32% = 46.4
side pot 1 = 155.3
side pot 2 = 105.2

seems like we
win 46.4+155.2-200=$1.7 in case 1
and 46.4+105.2-150=$1.7 in case 2

So with this tight range though the push is +EV, its really close and doesn't really matter.

First time I do this kind of thing, did I do it right?

[MrDarling]

Of course, we also have to take into account the times baldy folds. which if we say he cold call with ATs+, AJo+, 77+ and KQs, but only cal our push with JJ+ and AQ+ it means he folds 3.6% of the times.
so in those 3.6% we win 61.9% of 145 = $90

so depends on baldy cold call range this make the push a little more +EV

[UrAteUp]

Salche...push and pray buddy. Like most everyone said...most times your going to get baldy to fold. If not...well then it's time to pray to the almighty poker gods....