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What's the probability of this?

Pot odds questions, outs calculations, hand probabilities
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What's the probability of this?

Postby FirebirdGM » Thu Mar 10, 2005 7:19 pm GMT

I'm just curious what the odds of both players in a heads-up game getting pocket aces is. Then, the probability of that happening the very next hand. I saw this in a Tiger Gaming tournament I was in [Which gives me more reason to believe that it's rigged..].

I'm not 100% sure, but this is what I tried:

4/52 * 3/51 * 2/50 * 1/49

Which equals something like .000369%.

Not sure if I'm right though.
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Postby xDiamond_CutteRx » Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:32 pm GMT

As long as there are only two players, yes, that should be correct.
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Hate questions like that!

Postby Adamm » Mon Mar 14, 2005 8:50 pm GMT

This is one of my pet peeves.
You math is correct, but assumes that it happens on one particular hand. Many hands are actually dealt. I think a more fair way to analyze it would be "what are the chances that the other guy will have aces when I get aces?"
So it'd be 2/(50x49) or 1 in 1225 or .08% or so.
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